Talking Horses

Monday 26 January 2015

Festival Focus – Cheltenham Gold Cup 2015

Gold Cup Des-tiny - Houblon Des Obeaux looks hugely overpriced in the big one.
Anyone that loves horse racing will tell you that there are no small races at the Cheltenham festival – not even the Cross Country – but the one festival race that rightly stands out as the showpiece of the week is the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

We’ve been treated to some thrilling moments over the years in this great contest, including last year’s bizarre, but no less heart-pounding, finish.

This year’s running of the Gold Cup is one of the most open looking renewals of the race in living memory and thus there are some pretty tasty prices floating around.

Since mid-November the market has correctly revolved around Silviniaco Conti following his impressive victories in the Betfair Chase and the King George.

He is without question the best staying chaser in training and he looks a very worthy favourite on paper.

Tuesday 20 January 2015

Festival Focus - Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle 2015

Time For Heroes - No More Heroes can land the Albert Bartlett on his way to superstardom.
Gigginstown House Stud have a wealth of novice hurdling talent this season, perhaps to even rival and maybe surpass that of the Riccis.

Some of these star names however have suffered shock reverses already this campaign, with the likes of Milsean and Tell Us More tasting defeat at skinny prices and thus being labelled as having failed to live up to the hype.

However one Gigginstown novice hurdler has so far this season actually exceeded the lofty expectations that we had for him this campaign and although he is now much shorter than when he was flagged up as one of my ten to follow this season he still looks a good price to me for a race that has been a showcase for top chasers to be to strut their stuff in.

And make no mistake, No More Heroes will be a top chaser – possibly even a Gold Cup winner in time – but for now over the smaller obstacles he will aim to emulate the likes of Bobs Worth and Weapons Amnesty by landing this on the way to Grade 1 success over fences.

Friday 16 January 2015

Festival Focus - World Hurdle 2015

Tout Infinity and Beyond - Un Temps Pour Tout can justify the hype in the World Hurdle.
It could look like there’s an element of stealing other people’s tips here given that two tipsters that I have a lot of time for have also put up the same horse that I’m about to for the World Hurdle as well in recent days.

However a look back at my ten to follow post for this national hunt season from last September will show that even back then I was weighing up this horse for the top contests over hurdles this term.

I am of course talking about David Pipe’s expensive French import Un Temps Pout Tout.

Not yet seen this season, Pipe recently announced that he is set to reappear in the Cleeve Hurdle next Saturday with a World Hurdle tilt the aim.

As such, in a wide open looking renewal of the staying contest now looks the time to back him, as a good run – and he does go well fresh – in the Cleeve will surely see his price come in further.

A stand out 20/1 at the moment with Ladbrokes (although they aren’t NRNB at present, but the risk looks worth it) the Pond House inmate built on his high class French form with three good efforts last season after making the switch to Pipe for an astronomical fee.

Wednesday 14 January 2015

Festival Focus – Mares Hurdle 2015

Keep Calm and Carrig On - Carrigmoorna Rock looks a place alternative to the hot favourite
The Mares Hurdle this year once again revolves around a Willie Mullins super mare, but with six time winner Quevega now enjoying retirement a new name is finally set to be added to the roll of honour and if Annie Power makes it to the race then she will more than likely emulate her former stable mate by claiming victory in the Mares Hurdle.

Whether or not last year’s World Hurdle runner up will line-up though remains up in the air, although Mullins has only today issued a bulletin that she is back riding out and the Mares Hurdle is indeed the intended festival target.

Even coming off an absence of what will be almost ten months she would be nigh on unbeatable if she turns up, but her price of course reflects this. Mullins proved with Quevega that he can bring a mare back from a long lay-off to run away with this race so that isn’t really a concern and the fact she’s still only tasted defeat once under rules should rate her as almost as much of a banker as Quevega has been for the last half decade or so.

Therefore the value call at this stage is to look for an each-way alternative that can bring a nice return simply by chasing home the Mullins superstar or perhaps land the spoils should Annie Power not make Cheltenham.

Tuesday 13 January 2015

Festival Focus - JLT Novices' Chase 2015

Got My Vaut - If last year's Supreme winner takes his chance he'll be tough to beat in the JLT
With less than eight weeks to go now until the greatest show on turf it’s time to kick off this year’s festival focus series, and it’s the opener of Thursday’s card that has me pulling the trigger on the first ante-post advice of the year.

Rather surprisingly given how fearful the bookies usually are of the Willie Mullins battalions from a long range perspective, the horse I’m interested in here has actually lost his position at the head of the market with some firms in recent weeks.

The reason for this is two-fold, one, because as is always the case this time of year, the uncertainty over where Mullins will aim his most deadly weapons still reigns supreme and his big guns could be rerouted at any time between now and the tapes rising the second week in March, and the second is the crushing bump he took on Boxing Day in the Racing Post Novice Chase which resulted in a remarkable defeat to Clarcam.

I am of course talking about last year’s Supreme winner Vautour.