Talking Horses

Tuesday 7 August 2012

Pricewise - St. Leger

Main Sequence and Shantaram tussling in the Lingfield Derby Trial
Influential Racing Post tipster Tom ‘Pricewise’ Segal has given his value bet for the St. Leger in today’s edition of the paper.

And with Camelot such a strong favourite (best priced 1-2 at the moment) to complete the Triple Crown and win the final classic of the season, there’s plenty of value to be had in the race.

Segal has gone for John Gosden’s Bahrain Trophy-winning Shantaram, one of several potential Gosden runners in the race.

Gosden is mob-handed for the St. Leger at present, with Great Heavens, Thought Worthy and Michelangelo also prominent in the market and with the in-form trainer having such a great record in the race it’d be foolish to write this off as ‘the Camelot show’ just yet.

The Gosden-Buick combo took the Leger in 2010 with Arctic Cosmos and then in 2011 again with Masked Marvel, and although Buick is not certain to even partner Shantaram in the race, Segal’s selection has sent the bookies running for cover with the horse coming in today from 14s this morning to as short as 8s now; if you do want to get on you can, at the time of writing, still get 10s with both Ladbrokes and Boylesports.

Shantaram has form lines with Camelot in that he was a close second to Main Sequence in the Lingfield Derby Trial before that horse went on to place behind Camelot in the Derby itself and although on that form Shantaram would have a great deal to find to worry the Aidan O’Brien superstar, you would think at least one Gosden horse is a lock for a place so even at now single figure odds Shantaram could still be great value.

St. Leger Selected Best Odds:

Camelot 1-2
Great Heavens 8-1
Shantaram 10-1
Main Sequence 12-1
Imperial Monarch 12-1
Thomas Chippendale 14-1
Encke 14-1
Michelangelo 16-1
Noble Mission 16-1
Hartani 16-1
Thought Worthy 20-1
Estimate 20-1

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