Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2014 Ante-Post Preview

Certain-ty? - Can Avenir Certain remain unbeaten in this year's Arc?

It’s been a while since I posted one of my dodgy tips, but after a busy few months with getting hitched and what not I’m back for an autumn campaign with an eye on Europe’s premier flat race.

For the second year in a row I will be lucky enough to be at Longchamp for this year’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe and as a result there’s rarely been a day I haven’t been checking the market for this year’s race.

With Arc Trials day coming up this Sunday and with the market having once again been shaken up following Sea The Moon’s pretty emphatic defeat at Baden-Baden at the weekend, now seemed a good time to highlight two horses I have already backed for the Arc but still remain worthy of a bet at their current prices given their current profile.

Rather than go through in great detail why the horses at the top of the market can’t win in my opinion, given this is an ante-post piece I’ll just give you my logic for the selections and a quick summary of the other main contenders…