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| Back Again - I'm hoping Cappa Bleu can better last year's fourth in the Grand National this year |
For the purpose of the show I put forward two long range bets in ante-post markets, both intentionally larger priced selections. To keep this site up to date with what I’ve been tipping you can see both selections and the reasons behind them below.
Though Bobs Worth looks far and away the most likely Gold Cup winner to me with two consecutive festival wins under his belt, at 3/1 he’s not much of a price.
A horse that I think still looks a bit of value though for Cheltenham though happens to be in the very the first race. You’re taking a chance, because both Jezki and Puffin Billy – likely opposition in the race – have looked class acts so far this season but at 14/1 Dodging Bullets for Paul Nicholls looks a big price.
The Supreme is renowned for throwing up a surprise or two and I think given the experience this horse has in spite of still technically being classed as a novice could count for a lot – let’s not forget he ran well enough in the Triumph at last year’s festival when fourth on only his second start over hurdles.
His third in the Christmas Hurdle looks like a strong piece of form too, especially given that the winner of that race Darlan is currently 4/1 co-favourite for the Champion Hurdle.
Dodging Bullets seems to be constantly improving, is from the yard that won the race the year before last with Al Ferof and having been bred by Frankie Dettori would be a hell of a story were he to win at Cheltenham given the year his breeder has had.
Looking further ahead, my ante-post pick at the start of the season for the Aintree showpiece the Grand National was Teaforthree (25/1) but if he wins the Welsh National on Saturday as I expect him to then I’m a little worried about how much weight he’ll end up with and whether he will even ultimately end up running.
So as it stands I’d suggest Cappa Bleu also at 25/1 would be a solid bet. I was big on this horse last year tipping him to anyone who’d listen and he ran a good race to finish fourth. He was held up in the race and given a lot to do and with the excitement of the finish it was kind of lost just how strongly he was coming home.
The yard are masters at getting a horse back to the National in peak condition every year – as they did with State of Play four years on the spin to place in three of them and he looks to be having a quiet campaign this time around to preserve his mark.
He’s an out and out stayer and I think 25/1 is an attractive price all things considered up to this point whether you’re betting outright or each-way.
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